← Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 19.8% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.4 |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 6 | 1-2-3 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 51.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.9% | +2.7 |
| Wind Allies | 5.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.9% | +3.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +2.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
| Fire Luxem Guo Jia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Water Overlord | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.0% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 57.1% | +4.5 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +6.0 |
Decklists · 7 from this event
The 7 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Byakko's Command | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |